NEWS ARCHIVES
Archive: Roundup of major energy and electricity news and developments: 29 September to 12 October
1. Energy sector waits in anticipation after delayed gazetting of IRP 2025.

South Africa's energy sector has been left waiting after the Integrated Resource Plan for electricity, IRP 2025 - scheduled for public gazetting on Friday 24 October 2024 following an initial slide presentation on IRP 2025 to the media on 19 October 2025 - was not published. No comment or explanation for the delay has been forthcoming from the Ministry of Energy & Electricity. Stakeholders note that the delayed IRP 2025 compounds uncertainty in a sector that had had to deal with protracted load-shedding between 2019 and 2023, constrained grid investment, and significant regulatory and market reforms. The IRP 2025 has been long anticipated by industry groups and financiers to indicate a “clear investment roadmap” of the pathways and new generation capacity needed to meet electricity demand in the years to 2030 and beyond. Minister Ramokgopa indicated that IRP 2025 would add 34 GW of wind, 25 GW of solar PV, 16 GW of gas-to-power, 16 GW of wheeled and behind the meter generation, 8.5 GW of storage and 5.2 GW of nuclear capacity by 2039. However, some stakeholders have raised concerns about meeting the capacity and timeline ambitions, particularly in respect of gas-to power and nuclear. Other concerns include the ability to finance the new-build - particularly nuclear power - without government guarantees to the funders, as well as the depleted state of the South African construction industry, and the skills pipeline necessary to execute the plan. Analysts also warn of electricity price escalation arising from raising the gas-to-power load factor to 50 % in the years to 2030, and allocations of “clean coal technology” in the plan, noting the apparent absence of any modelling of the electricity price trajectories in IRP 2025.

2. Eskom simplifies rooftop solar compliance rules; customers poised to save R400m.

On 21 October 2025, Eskom announced a simplification of its compliance rules for residential rooftop solar PV systems - a welcome move for households. Effective 1 October 2025, residential rooftop solar PV and battery energy storage (BES) systems no longer need sign-off by a professional engineer, technologist or technician registered with the Engineering Council of South Africa (ECSA). Instead, sign-off by a master electrician, installation electrician or electrical contractor registered with the Department of Labour & Employment in terms of the existing Certificate of Compliance (CoC) framework of the Occupational Health & Safety Act and the regulations thereto is now sufficient. Eskom says the change will help make installations “simpler, safer and more affordable”. Based on an estimated 40,000 unregistered low-voltage solar PV/BES installations on the Eskom network alone, and an estimated cost saving of some R10,000 per installation through this simplified compliance requirement, the move is expected to save consumers some R400m. Importantly, while the cost and compliance burden has been eased, Eskom emphasises that all households and business owners connected to the Eskom distribution network, with embedded generation (SSEG) of less than 100 kW, must still register their installation with the utility - even if they do not export electricity to the grid. Civil-society pressure group, OUTA (Organisation Undoing Tax Abuse) welcomed the changes, calling them a “massive win” for rooftop solar users, noting that the prior sign-off requirements had acted as a barrier. While some municipalities still retain stricter sign-off rules for solar PV/BES, the Eskom move marks a key national-level shift in the domestic solar market, potentially unlocking wider uptake for households seeking to save on energy costs, reduce reliance on the national grid and participate more actively in the energy-transition agenda.

3. IPP Office defends arduous ITP bid criteria amid concerns over local participation.

South Africa's R440bn transmission infrastructure expansion has entered a critical phase, with the Independent Power Producer Office (IPP Office) confirming that 17 bidders submitted prequalification bids under the Independent Transmission Project (ITP) programme. Among these, six or seven appear to be consortiums anchored by local South African companies, while the remainder include heavyweight international firms such as India's Adani Group and several Chinese state-owned engineering giants. The arduous prequalification requirements detailed in the bid documents by the IPP Office triggered concerns within South Africa's construction and engineering sector that locally-led consortiums were effectively excluded in favour of foreign-led entities with deeper balance sheets and global EPC credentials. Industry bodies raised concerns that the procurement framework and financial thresholds embedded in the ITP prequalification criteria excluded local firms from meaningful participation in the build programme - which will add over 14,000 km of new transmission lines and 170 GVA of transformer capacity over the next decade. In response, the IPP Office rejected claims that the process is exclusionary, insisting that the criteria were designed to balance local capability with the need for delivery certainty on a project of national importance. The IPP Office said it is “fully committed to maximising local content and skills transfer” and will enforce B-BBEE, localisation and subcontracting targets at later bid stages. Separately, the South African Independent Power Producer Association (SAIPPA) confirmed it has sought discussions with Eskom Transmission and the Competition Commission regarding potential anti-competitive behaviour in grid access - another area of concern for local developers eyeing participation in upcoming ITP bid windows. The next stage of the procurement process is expected to shortlist bidders for detailed proposals in early 2026.

4. From Cabo Delgado to Karoo: SADC's oil & gas sector enters a moment of reflection.

Southern Africa's oil and gas sector has entered a moment of some forward momentum as well as some cautious concerns. In Cabo Delgado, northern Mozambique, the long-suspended LNG project led by TotalEnergies has formally lifted its force majeure status after more than four years of hold-up following militant attacks in 2021. The US $20bn project aims for a 2029 online date and reflects a significant signal of growing confidence in Mozambiquan gas-export infrastructure. Meanwhile, in South Africa, the upstream and mid-stream oil and gas space continues to wrestle with delays, the absence of national liquid fuel and gas sector masterplans, legal challenges and investor uncertainty. Recent court judgements indicate significant procedural inadequacies in respect the Environment Impact Assessments of oil and gas majors and Eskom, for both offshore exploration and onshore infrastructure for gas-to-power projects. At the same time, Mineral & Petroleum Resources Minister Gwede Mantashe says South Africa is proceeding with plans for a large-scale seismic survey in the south-central Karoo, as well as offshore exploration in the Orange Basin off the west coast of South Africa. If economic reserves are identified, in the next decade this could result in fracking activities in the Karoo, and offshore oil and gas extraction in the Orange Basin, if regulatory certainty is secured in the face of strident opposition by environmental NGOs. To some extent, the SADC region is now at a moment of reflection: Mozambique's LNG revival offers a large anchor project for export, infrastructure and employment, while South Africa's potential hinges on mitigating significant risks, and delivering credible masterplans, regulatory frameworks, environmental licensing and investor-friendly regimes. The coming months and years will be critical to see whether the momentum in Mozambique translates into benefits across the region, and whether South Africa grabs its upstream opportunity rather than losing it to regional rivals in Mozambique and Namibia.

5. PBMR pipedream or nuclear renaissance for South Africa's aged SMR technology?

South Africa is poised to dust-off its long-dormant Pebble Bed Modular Reactor (PBMR) intellectual property from care-and-maintenance, in efforts to resuscitate the PBMR programme that was abandoned and mothballed in 2010. This is raising questions about whether this marks a genuine Small Modular Reactor (SMR) renaissance in South Africa or simply a high-stakes revival of an earlier misstep. At the IRP 2025 media briefing on 19 October 2025, Energy & Electricity Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa announced that the project for removal of the earlier PBMR work from care-and-maintenance is “far advanced” - with a Cabinet submission planned for late November 2025 or early Q1 2026. According to the new IRP 2025 still to be released, South Africa anticipates adding 5.2 GW of new nuclear capacity by 2039 as part of a R2.2tn energy diversification strategy. While Minister Ramokgopa emphasises that this large-scale nuclear programme and the PBMR revival are separate tracks, he noted the PBMR's relevance to SMR opportunities, which are being explored in some 80 SMR development projects globally, especially for industrial process heat, data-centre demand and modular deployment. However, SMRs remain largely experimental globally, with only two pilot commercial power units in operation in China. Minister Ramokgopa himself said he does “not think we'll have room for experimentation” in meeting the 5.2 GW target. Moreover, South Africa faces chronic skills shortages, legacy cost escalations and financing constraints - far exceeding those at the time of the original PBMR's demise. The Minister suggests the PBMR revival will be “off-balance-sheet”, ready for international partners from China, South Korea, Russia, France and the USA. Whether the PBMR revival becomes a path-breaking SMR success or a misguided aspirational pipedream remains to be seen - but it signals that South Africa is doubling down on nuclear as a relatively small part of its future energy mix.

6. Utility-scale private PPAs with traders drive South Africa's renewables surge.

In the past two weeks, South Africa's private-sector renewable energy space has seen three announcements of large, private PPA, project milestones - indicating the increasing momentum of large-scale wheeling and trading of electricity to industrial and mining off-takers. The 720 MW Nuweveld Wind Farm in the Upper Karoo is accelerating, with both grid capacity allocation and registration with NERSA secured. The wind farm, being developed by Anthem Energy (70%) and Red Cap Energy (30%), comprises three 240 MW units and includes a self-build 100 km 400 kV transmission line into the national grid. All power is contracted to licensed energy traders rather than via the traditional utility procurement route. The Seriti Green Ummbila Emoyeni Wind Farm in Mpumalanga - located in South Africa's coal heartland - has entered the next phase, with the third 155 MW tranche achieving financial close, and construction underway. The full build is structured across seven phases totalling 900 MW, including five wind farms plus a solar PV generator and battery storage facility. A third of the output will serve the owning mining company, Seriti Resources, while the remainder is slated for energy-trading via the NOA Group and Energy Exchange of Southern Africa (EXCA). The R5.2bn Red Rocket Solar Park has emerged as the first project to be announced under the Eskom Land Lease Scheme. The project secured a long-term PPA with Discovery Green for trading to large and small company off-takers. These announcements signal a shift: large private PPAs are no longer niche but becoming mainstream. The combination of offtake certainty, self-build grid connection and funding commitment is de-risking development. That said, the scale of projects like Ummbila Emoyeni - with major transmission builds and deployment in historically coal-intensive regions - underscores both opportunity and complexity.

7. Wheeling and trading of electricity is not only for the big boys.

In South Africa's evolving electricity ecosystem, the practice of wheeling and trading - where power generated in one location is transported through networks to a different end-user location under a financial transaction - is increasingly shifting from large industry and IPPs to a broader set of participants. In a recent announcement, the first phase of the 5.2 MW Slimsun Too solar project in Malmesbury in the Western Cape, developed by Sustainable Power Solutions (SPS), is soon to begin supplying 12 GWh per year to businesses via grid wheeling through the Energy Exchange of Southern Africa (EXCA). On the other end of the market, SPS is launching a “buy-out” model for existing solar and battery systems, which enables smaller commercial or industrial users to recover the full capital cost of their solar PV/BES installations and to engage in wheeling arrangements, without full onsite generation ownership. Meanwhile, Growthpoint Properties has acquired a 30% stake in Serengeti Energy's operational 5 MW Boston Hydro run-of-river hydroelectric power plant on the Ash River near Clarens in the Free State, wheeling some 30 GWh of 24/7 base supply per year via Etana Energy to office buildings in Sandton, Johannesburg. Critically, the regulatory framework is catching up. The National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) recently introduced rules on network charges for third-party wheeling, clarifying that retail costs should be recovered by the network service provider. Municipal guidelines also enable distributed generators to wheel energy through a municipal grid. What this means is that wheeling is becoming progressively accessible to a broader set of organisations - from corporates and municipalities to smaller SMMEs. As more bilateral PPAs, virtual wheeling platforms and regulatory clarity take hold, the market is moving from being the preserve of the “big boys” to a more inclusive electricity trading space.

For more information or to enquire about these articles, please contact Melani De Lima at m.delima@iep-global.com

IEP acknowledges the source of this publication: https://www.eebi.co.za/news
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